Napoli – Chelsea is a match valid for the eighth and final day of the Champions League group stage, with kick-off scheduled for 9:00 PM on Wednesday, January 28th at the Maradona Stadium in Naples.
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The draw in Copenhagen has significantly complicated Napoli‘s Champions League campaign, with the Neapolitans currently outside the qualification spots for the knockout stages. The last 90 minutes therefore become fundamental for Conte’s ambitions, with his Napoli having obtained only 2 wins in 7 matches so far, but with a home record that leaves all possibilities open. The Neapolitans are indeed unbeaten at the Maradona and have conceded only one goal. A more relaxed situation for Chelsea, currently in the last position that guarantees direct qualification to the round of 16 after their narrow victory over Pafos. However, the English must watch their backs from as many as 10 teams potentially capable of overtaking them. But above all, they must consider their away record, which currently shows zero wins in 3 games.
As always, there are many interesting points to better understand this match. Let’s see what awaits us and, to not miss all our predictions, remember to follow the special page dedicated to Champions League predictions, the one on the main Today’s Betting Slips or the new page on Boosted Odds.
Napoli – Chelsea, the prediction
In important matches, Napoli has never missed the chance to score. This is shown by the scores against Bologna, Milan, and Inter, but also in the last 10 home games where they only failed to score against Frankfurt and Parma. Furthermore, the home advantage has proven to be important in the Neapolitans’ Champions League games, remaining unbeaten in the three matches played against Sporting, Frankfurt, and Qarabag.
Chelsea has also shown to score with great regularity, failing to score in the last 10 games only in the match drawn away at Bournemouth in early December. However, the English have not yet won an away Champions League match, drawing at Qarabag and losing to Bayern and Atalanta. The away win (sign 2) is slightly favored, but our prediction goes to the 1 + Goal combo, thus recognizing Napoli’s greater chances of success in a game that will end with at least one goal for each side.
| Operator | 1 + GOAL |
|---|---|
 | 5.00 |
 | 4.80 |
 | 5.00 |
 | 5.00 |
 | 5.00 |
 | 4.75 |
For those who want to have fun with Champions League bets, you can consult the odds offered by online betting sites. Furthermore, these sites offer a welcome betting bonus to new users, allowing them to start playing without having to make an initial deposit. Below is an informative comparison of welcome bonuses, including details on the bonus value, how to use it, and wagering requirements.
We also remind you of our new page dedicated to today’s boosted odds.
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Previous encounters between Napoli and Chelsea
There are only two previous encounters between these teams, both related to the round of 16 of the 2011-2012 Champions League season. Napoli won the first leg at home, with a clear 3-1 victory. However, in the second leg, Chelsea managed to turn the result around, winning 3-1 in regular time and sealing the deal in extra time. Therefore, the matches were balanced in terms of the winner, with 2 Over and as many Goal outcomes.
Napoli – Chelsea lineups
Napoli has limited options, with Conte possibly risking Anguissa from the start to facilitate rotation. A possible inclusion of Gutierrez is also being evaluated.
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Chelsea has a practically complete squad. Mudryk is available again, while up front it’s a head-to-head between Delap and Joao Pedro.
- Napoli (3-4-2-1): Milinkovic – Savic; Juan Jesus, Beukema, Buongiorno; Di Lorenzo, Anguissa, McTominay, Spinazzola; Vergara, Elmas; Hojlund. Coach: Conte
- Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Sanchez; Cucurella, Adarabioyo, Chalobah, James; Fernandez, Caicedo; Garnacho, Palmer, Neto; Delap. Coach: Rosenior
Napoli – Chelsea, 1X2 odds
The odds for the winner are very close, with the away win (sign 2) slightly favored. The odds for a difficult draw are more distant.
| Operator | Napoli | Draw | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
| 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.55 |
| 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
Napoli – Chelsea, Over Under, Goal and No Goal
Napoli has a clear advantage in Under outcomes in the Champions League, sharing the top position in this special ranking with Benfica and Pafos with a record of 5 to 2. This situation doesn’t change when considering only home games, where Under outcomes lead 2 to 1 with the lowest average goals per game in the group stage at 1.7. The opposite situation applies to Chelsea, which has ended 5 out of 7 matches with Over outcomes, with three out of three away games also ending with Over. Four Over outcomes in the last 5 overall matches. Odds for Under and Over are very close, but the former is slightly favored at the moment. The difference is more significant between Goal, favored, and No-Goal.
| Operator | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Goal | No-Goal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| 1.80 | 1.90 | 1.63 | 2.15 |
| 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.65 | 2.07 |
| 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.65 | 2.07 |
| 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
| 1.78 | 1.88 | 1.65 | 2.05 |
Napoli – Chelsea, the exact score
Napoli has regularly scored in 4 of their last 5 home games, only failing to score against Parma. A total of seven goals have been scored without ever exceeding two goals per match. The defense has been unbeaten in recent matches against Sassuolo and Parma, while in the Champions League, only Sporting, in the first home fixture, managed to score at the Maradona.
Chelsea has scored in all of their last five away matches for a total of 12 goals. However, they have also conceded at least one goal in each match, conceding a total of 7 goals. The deficit is more significant in the Champions League, with 7 goals conceded and only 4 scored in three away games. It will be a tight match, but it could end with a 2-1 victory for Napoli.
| Operator | Exact score 2-1 |
|---|---|
| 10.00 |
| 10.00 |
| 9.80 |
| 9.80 |
| 10.00 |
| 9.50 |
Where to watch it on TV
The match will be played on Wednesday, January 28th at 9:00 PM and can be followed via live streaming on Amazon Prime.
