There are now about four months left until the start of the 2026 Tour de France and it is time for antepost analysis regarding the Grande Boucle, the most anticipated cycling race of the year.
Pogacar, Vingegaard and little else: it is hard to see who can challenge these two champions in the fight for the Yellow Jersey. Although, of course, cycling is a sport that occasionally offers surprises.
So let’s analyze the next 2026 Tour de France through the antepost odds of the main Italian betting sites, always reminding you that on Assopoker there are the Today’s Predictions and Today’s Betting Slips sections.
Tour de France 2026: where to watch on TV
The appointment as usual will be on Eurosport and on Rai channels (both generalist and Rai Sport), from Saturday 4 to Sunday 26 July.
Recent roll of honor
These are the last winners, if we look at the past 10 editions.
- Tadej Pogacar (4 times: 2020, 2021, 2024, 2025)
- Jonas Vingegaard (2 times: 2022, 2023)
- Chris Froome (2 times: 2016, 2017)
- Geraint Thomas, Egan Bernal (1 time: 2018 and 2019)
Odds for the victory of the 2026 Tour de France
Not much has actually changed in the odds compared to last month: Pogacar is still clearly favored over his eternal rival Vingegaard. The two have yet to make their season debut, moreover.
| Operator |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pogacar | 1.20 | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Vingegaard | 6.00 | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| Evenepoel | 10.00 | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| Lipowitz | 20.00 | 20.00 | 18.00 |
| Del Toro | 22.00 | 20.00 | 31.00 |
| Ayuso | 22.00 | 22.00 | 21.00 |
The Del Toro unknown for a UAE team that is too strong
Compared to the previous antepost analysis regarding the winner of the 2026 Tour de France, one thing immediately stands out: within the context of very high odds, excluding the two heavyweights Pogacar and Vingegaard, attention is increasing towards Isaac del Toro.
The Mexican, second in the last Giro d’Italia thanks to a stellar performance that however culminated with a collapse on the Colle delle Finestre, started the year great by winning the first major stage race last weekend: the UAE Tour.
A complete rider, for many bookies Del Toro has more chances than Joao Almeida to win the 2026 Tour de France. We are talking about details, of course, the captain of the Emirati team remains Pogacar.
Of course, for a possible place on the podium, watch out for the young Isaac, more explosive than the Portuguese rider, who is occasionally a victim of bad luck in the form of crashes, like at the 2025 Grande Boucle.
In desperate search of some outsider, Del Toro can certainly be a card to bet on even for some stage wins. UAE has however accustomed us to being the masters of the races they participate in, barring sensational slips.
Evenepoel, is there a problem?
While on one hand Del Toro is growing and his odds are dropping, Remco Evenepoel is taking the opposite path. The Belgian, who moved to RedBull, remains a formidable time trialist (reigning multiple world and Olympic champion), but not too reliable in three-week races.
Even in this early 2026, he struggled quite a bit at the UAE Tour, ending up dropped even on the very first ramps, something typical of a domestique and not him, of course.
Could it be a strategy to arrive under the radar in July at the Tour de France? Goodness, given the colossal investment RedBull made in him, snatching him from Quickstep, it would be better if Remco showed some signs of life, even if the Grande Boucle is the event not to be missed on his calendar.
Meanwhile, his odds have risen, while remaining the third favorite on the board.
Where to bet on cycling
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