After the 2-0 defeat in Germany, Palladino’s Atalanta hosts Dortmund in Bergamo, in a match valid for the second leg of the 2025 2026 Champions League playoffs: whoever goes through moves to the round of 16.
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The Goddess does not start already defeated, but the feat is not the simplest: a perfect game is needed, in a match that truly opens up to a multiplicity of predictions, which we are now going to break down.
Appointment at 18.45 on Wednesday, January 25, 2026.
Below is all the information, analysis, and the prediction based on the odds published on February 20, 2026, by the best legal Italian betting platforms.
The prediction for Atalanta – Borussia Dortmund
It restarts from the 2-0 in Dortmund, but it is by no means a foregone conclusion. At home, in fact, Atalanta has what it takes to win in 90 minutes. The situation for qualifying is different, however: overturning a two-goal deficit is absolutely not easy, also because the Borussia seen in the first leg is a solid team with several offensive solutions.
The Goddess, pushed by the home crowd and the adrenaline of another great European night, could manage to prevail over the Germans but, probably, might do so by a narrow margin. It is possible that the Germans, with a Guirassy in great form, could also find the back of the net, complicating things for Palladino’s boys, who must win by a three-goal margin to advance to the round of 16.
Our prediction for this match, therefore, is a sign 1, to which an Over 2.5 can be added.
The advice, therefore, is a 1+Over 2.5.
| OPERATOR | 1 + OVER 2.5 |
|---|---|
 | 3.0 |
 | 3.05 |
 | 3.0 |
 | 3.05 |
Previous meetings and statistics of Atalanta – Dortmund
There are three previous meetings between the two teams, two in the Europa League and the first leg of this 2025 2026 Champions League round. In the Europa League, it was the 2017/18 season when Atalanta and Dortmund met in the competition’s playoffs. The Germans won 3-2 at home, then drew 1-1 in Italy (played in Sassuolo) to advance, in a match that saw the Goddess close to taking the lead several times.
The Goddess lost the first leg of the 2025 2026 Champions League playoffs 2-0 in Dortmund.
Atalanta – Dortmund: probable lineups
ATALANTA (3-4-2-1): Carnesecchi; Scalvini, Djimsiti, Hien; Zappacosta, Ederson, de Roon, Bernasconi; Pasalic, Zalewski; Scamacca.
Coach: Palladino.
BORUSSIA DORTMUND (3-4-2-1): Kobel; Reggiani, Anton, Bensebaini; Ryerson, Bellingham, Nmecha, Svensson; Brandt, Beier; Guirassy.
Coach: Kovac.
A match worth the season: Goddess hunting for a sensational comeback
What a game! As anticipation grows, the anxious countdown to the match worth the season begins in Bergamo. After the 2-0 defeat in Dortmund, in fact, Atalanta must recover two goals against the Germans. A very complicated feat, but not impossible. At least on paper.
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Atalanta, in fact, has accustomed us to great feats and, playing at home in front of a big-occasion crowd, could find the strength for the comeback. Although, it must be said, on the other side a solid, concrete Borussia Dortmund will play, determined to go through.
Starting strong could help the Goddess find a goal in the early minutes, changing Dortmund’s approach to the match as well. Winning is not impossible, going through is very complicated.
1X2 odds in the match between the Italians and the Germans
The challenge between Atalanta and Dortmund seems to favor the hosts, with the odds favoring them, thanks mainly to the home factor.
| OPERATOR | 1 (Atalanta victory) | X (draw) | 2 (Dortmund victory) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.13 | 3.65 | 3.15 |
| 2.10 | 3.90 | 3.0 |
| 2.10 | 3.85 | 3.10 |
| 2.10 | 3.90 | 3.0 |
 | 2.05 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
Double chance odds for Atalanta – Borussia Dortmund
The most likely odds in the Double Chance is 12, with Atalanta appearing capable of securing a victory
