The Champions League 2025 2026 season is heating up, with the playoffs to reach the round of 16 of the competition: Borussia Dortmund hosts Atalanta for the first leg, in a definitely interesting and balanced match, which truly opens up a multitude of predictions that we will now report.
The home team is favored due to the home advantage.
The match is scheduled for 9 PM on Tuesday, January 17, 2026.
Below is all the information, analysis, and prediction based on the odds published on February 13, 2026, by the best Italian legal betting platforms.
Borussia Dortmund – Atalanta Prediction
A very difficult match to interpret. The importance of the match would suggest a slightly more cautious approach from both teams, but they are known for their pressing and offensive mentality.
Although Dortmund is certainly more accustomed to playing matches like this, the two teams seem evenly matched at this stage of the season. They have squads with technical players capable of deciding games with a moment of brilliance and strong defensive organization. However, both teams sometimes concede to their opponents, dropping points that seemed almost certain.
The atmosphere at the Signal Iduna Park, with its yellow wall, could make the difference. It’s possible that Dortmund could win by a narrow margin, but it’s also possible that Atalanta, a team that is not intimidated by difficult away games, could find the back of the net.
Our prediction for this match, therefore, is a home win (1), which can be combined with an Over 2.5.
The recommendation, therefore, is a 1+Over 2.5.
| OPERATOR | 1 + OVER 2.5 |
|---|---|
 | 2.95 |
 | 2.90 |
 | 2.95 |
 | 2.90 |
Head-to-Head and Statistics for Borussia Dortmund – Atalanta
There have been only two previous encounters between the two teams, both in the Europa League. It was the 2017/18 season when Atalanta and Dortmund met in the playoffs of the competition. The Germans won 3-2 at home, then drew 1-1 in Italy (played in Sassuolo) and advanced, in a match where La Dea came close to scoring the winning goal multiple times.
Borussia Dortmund – Atalanta: Probable Lineups
BORUSSIA DORTMUND (3-4-2-1): Kobel; Sule, Anton, Bensebaini; Ryerson, Bellingham, Nmecha, Svensson; Brandt, Beier; Guirassy.
Coach: Kovac.
ATALANTA (3-4-3): Carnesecchi; Scalvini, Djimsiti, Hien; Zappacosta, Ederson, de Roon, Zalewski; Samardzic, Raspadori; Scamacca.
Coach: Palladino.
A very important match, but only halfway decisive: what a clash between Dortmund and Atalanta
A delicate and very important match, needless to say. The ties that decide qualification over two legs are particularly unique because teams know they are playing over 180 minutes, not 90.
However, the characteristics of Dortmund and Atalanta suggest that they will not be two teams playing with the handbrake on: due to the mentality of their coaches, they will likely face each other openly, respecting each other and trying to be precise in defense, but also trying to win.
Read also: Bodo Glimt-Inter Prediction: first knockout match in Champions League, Goal-Goal on the odds
Advancing to the next round is clearly fundamental for both teams, who have alternated excellent performances with periods of decline in the group stage.
1X2 Odds for the Match between the Germans and the Italians
The match between Dortmund and Atalanta seems to favor the home team, with odds that favor them, mainly due to the home advantage.
| OPERATOR | 1 (Borussia Dortmund win) | X (draw) | 2 (Atalanta win) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.11 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.35 |
| 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.35 |
| 2.10 | 3.55 | 3.35 |
 | 2.0 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
Double Chance Odds for Borussia Dortmund – Atalanta
The most probable odds in the Double Chance are 12, with Dortmund seeming capable of securing a win, but with the possibility that La Dea could snatch a victory in Germany. X2 is the least likely hypothesis, with Palladino’s team starting as underdogs, and a draw seeming like the least probable choice.
| OPERATOR | 1X (Borussia Dortmund win or draw) | X2 (draw or Atalanta win) | 12 (Borussia Dortmund win or Atalanta win) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.32 | 1.70 | 1.29 |
| 1.30 | 1.75 | 1.27 |
| 1.30 | 1.75 | 1.27 |
| 1.30 | 1.70 | 1.28 |
| 1.30 | 1.72 | 1.27 |
Under/Over and Goal/No Goal Odds
In general, bookmakers tend to consider the possibility of an Over 2.5 more likely than an Under 2.5. The match features two teams that play offensive football at a high tempo. It’s not easy to determine the exact number of goals, but it’s possible that Borussia Dortmund-Atalanta will be an Over 2.5 and Goal match.
| OPERATOR | UNDER 2.5 | OVER 2.5 | GOAL | NO GOAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.09 | 1.66 | 1.57 | 2.26 |
| 2.15 | 1.63 | 1.55 | 2.30 |
| 2.15 | 1.63 | 1.55 | 2.30 |
| 2.15 | 1.65 | 1.53 | 2.35 |
| 2.10 | 1.65 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Where to Watch Borussia Dortmund – Atalanta
The match between Borussia Dortmund and Atalanta, valid for the first leg of the 2025 2026 Champions League playoffs, will be broadcast exclusively by Sky. Please note that to watch the match, you must subscribe to the broadcaster.
It is also reminded that to watch the match in streaming, you can subscribe to the Now or SkyGo offers.
Where to Bet
Consult the best welcome betting bonuses if you want to play without an initial deposit, obviously with the best bookmakers.
The table will provide informative comparisons, with details on value, usage methods, and betting requirements.
We also remind you not to miss our new page dedicated to today’s boosted odds, where promotions on odds for all scheduled matches are available.
We also remind you that you can find two interesting sections on Assopoker: Today’s Predictions and Bet Slips
